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Yusuf’s defection, Kwankwaso and the 2027 Kano election

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By Tunde Rahman

Kano State, the bastion of progressive politics in Northern Nigeria, is going through a turbulent time. This turbulence has caused a tectonic shift in the state’s political map. Mallam Abba Kabir Yusuf, nicknamed Abba Gida-Gida by his numerous supporters, the only governor elected on the platform of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) and a key lieutenant and protégé of Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso – leader of both the party and the Kawankwasiyya Movement – quit the NNPP and the movement. His departure is a big blow to Kwankwaso and the Kwankwasiyya Movement. The seismic shift perhaps presents the biggest challenge to the godfather’s hegemony.

For Kwankwaso, former Minister of Defence in the President Obasanjo’s administration, the disappointment is difficult to mask. He has described Monday, January 26, 2026, the day Abba Gida-Gida formally enlisted in the governing All Progressives Congress, as one that should be marked in the world as a day of ‘betrayal’.

Cloak-and-dagger politics has never been the exception in Kano’s political culture. Over the years and across several republics, Kano has witnessed bitter disagreements among its political leaders that engendered acrimonious parting of ways. In the Second Republic, the late Abubakar Rimi’s disagreement with his mentor, Malam Aminu Kano, led to a rift that split down the line Aminu Kano’s People’s Redemption Party that brought him to power as governor in 1979. Rimi eventually pitched his tent with the defunct Nigeria Peoples Party, founded by Dr Nnamdi Azikiwe, to seek re-election in 1983. Sabo BakinZuwo, propped by PRP to contest the Kano governorship election in 1983, would later defeat his opponent, Alhaji Aminu Wali of the National Party of Nigeria, in a closely contested election. However, his tenure was short-lived. The military coup of December 31, 1983, removed him from office.

It has been no different in the Fourth Republic. Dr Umar Ganduje had a bittersweet relationship with his political friend and principal, Rabiu Kwankwaso, leading to the two parting ways. Such was their initial bond that, even after Ganduje served as Kwankwaso’s deputy during his first governorship term from 1999 to 2003, he tapped him again as deputy when he returned as governor for a second term in 2011, after the eight years of Alhaji Ibrahim Shekarau.

Defection is normal and part of Nigeria’s politics. The question arising from today’s wave of defections is whether the motive is ideological or for political survival and whether defection is motivated by conflicting political ideas, as was the case in the earlier period referenced, particularly in the case of Rimi and Aminu Kano.

Abba Gida-Gida says his decision to defect to the APC was not self-serving, but was made in the interest of the people of the state to align with the party at the centre and drive more development to Kano. “Our return to APC is anchored on the need to work closely with President Bola Tinubu to advance social welfare, infrastructure and inclusive economic development in Kano. This decision was not driven by personal ambition, but by stability, progress and well-being of Kano people,” he had said during his declaration.

Governor Yusuf seemed at pains to leave the NNPP and part ways with his political leader. It’s instructive that, despite the widespread talk of his defection, it took him quite a while and a few postponements before he eventually joined the APC and pitched his tent with the Ganduje political camp he defeated in the 2023 Kano governorship election.

On January 20, 2026, when Governor Yusuf came to the Presidential Villa for a strategic meeting with President Tinubu, apart from addressing his defection concerns, one other issue that dominated discussions was his plea to the President to renew discussions and negotiations with Kwankwaso, persuade him to re-join APC and consider the possibility of working with him.

However, as correctly reported by a national newspaper over the weekend, Kwankwaso appears inflexible and unrealistic in his demands and conditions for enlisting in the governing party, allegedly seeking commitments for the 2031 presidential position – five years away!

Kwankwaso was thrown into shock and disbelief by Abba Gida-Gida’s defection. Still reeling from shock days after, he swore that Yusuf would regret his decision. His tough stance should be understandable. Governor Yusuf is his son-in-law, former Commissioner for Transport and one of his closest associates.

The battle line now seems clearly drawn between the godfather and the godson. Can Kwankwaso recover from the shock of what he called treachery by a man he helped into office as governor? Can the former minister regain his stranglehold on Kano politics and his awesome control of the levers of power in the state? What does Governor Yusuf’s defection portend for his re-election? I will attempt to answer these critical questions shortly.

One crucial point is the fact that Abba Gida-Gida defected from a position of strength. He crossed over to APC with a formidable arsenal: eight National Assembly members, 22 state assembly members and 44 local council chairmen. The APC has also given him an automatic ticket to contest for re-election in 2027. Leading APC gubernatorial aspirants in the state, notably Deputy Senate President Jibrin Barau, have already dropped their ambitions, opting to support the governor in 2027. This is a significant decision, particularly by Barau, who had been quite resolute in his preparation for the governorship race, and a demonstration of his humility and loyalty to party leadership.

Will Abba Gida-Gida suffer the same fate in next year’s election as late Abubakar Rimi in 1983? It is yet uncertain.
As indicated earlier, Governor Yusuf has strong supporters in his corner, and his administration is said to be truly pro-people in its governance programmes and infrastructure projects. In his home-base of Gwale Local Government and Kano Central Senatorial District, Abba Gida-Gida, a member of a royal family, is well-liked and has a strong following, even though Senator Rufai Hanga of NNPP, who represents the senatorial zone in the National Assembly, had refused to defect with him.

Senator Barau undoubtedly has a formidable presence in his Kano North, along with Hon. Abubakar Kabir Abubakar Bichi, Chairman of the House of Representatives Committee on Appropriations, who is from Hagagawa Village. Also for APC in this zone are former deputy governor in the state and former Minister of State for Housing, Abdullahi Gwarzo, and APC deputy govenorship candidate in the last election, Murtala Sule Garo. APC is strong enough there to secure Kano North for Abba Gida-Gida, while Senator Kawu Sumaila, who had earlier in April 2025 defected from NNPP to APC, may do a similar thing for the governor in Kano South, among other things.

A lot, however, will depend on how Governor Yusuf carries on from now till the election, in terms of his relationship with the Kano people and the seriousness of the leaders both in Kano and Abuja, who are with him, to deliver him. There is also the issue of who Kwankwaso’s NNPP will present to slug it out with Abba Gida-Gida, who is yet unknown. That choice too will be a key factor in the election.

Meanwhile, Kwankwaso has begun a recalibration of his fractured NNPP and the Kwankwasiyya Movement.
Fortunately for him, Yusuf’s deputy, Samaila Gwarzo, has refused to join the governor in the defection to the APC. However, his fate hangs in the balance as the governor and his associates mull his impeachment. The governor has an overwhelming majority in the House to carry this through.

Also, some commissioners and a few top functionaries have resigned from Abba Gida-Gida’s government to demonstrate their loyalty to Kwankwaso. This will give initial comfort and strength in his efforts to rebuild his broken political group.

In summary, though seemingly down now, Kwankwaso cannot be ruled out in Kano’s political equation. It will amount to political naivety to contemplate otherwise.

*Rahman is Senior Special Assistant to the President on Media and Special Duties.

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Amupitan Warns Staff Not To Fail At Duty As INEC Hires 1,132 Vehicles For FCT Election

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Chairman of Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), Professor Joash Amupitan, has cautioned staff of the commission against dereliction of duty ahead of the February 21 Federal Capital Territory (FCT) Area Council elections.

INEC revealed that it would hire a total of 1,132 vehicles from the transport unions ahead of Satur-day’s area council polls.

At the same time, stakeholders appealed to INEC not to sway to the whims of politicians during the area council elections.

Amupitan, who stated spoke in Abuja during an assessment visit and general meeting with FCT staff, described the election as a test case for the commission and an opportunity to restore public confidence in the electoral process.

The INEC boss, in a statement, charged staff of the FCT office to take full ownership of the forthcoming area council elections, warning that any act of dereliction would attract severe consequences.

He said, “You are the foot soldiers. The success of this election rests on how you perform your responsibilities.”

The chairman reminded personnel that “under the Electoral Act, 2022, there are clear consequences for misconduct, including faulty declaration of results”.

He said, “There is a saying in law that ignorance of the law is not an excuse. We need to let everyone know that there are consequences for dereliction of duty.”

Amupitan stressed the need for strict adherence to INEC regulations, proper deployment of technology, and transparent result management.

He also urged electoral officers to be proactive in addressing challenges at the polling unit level.

Amupitan identified punctuality as a key performance indicator for a successful election, directing that all polling units must be set up by 8am so that voting could commence by 8:30am as advertised.

“When you start on time, you close by 2:30 p.m., and results can be concluded before nightfall. That is the beginning of success,” he said.

Amupitan warned that any delays must be communicated to the commission promptly to ensure INEC remained the primary source of information in real time.

Earlier, FCT Resident Electoral Commissioner, Aminu Idris, provided an update on the state of preparedness for the area council elections, assuring the chairman that all non-sensitive materials have been deployed to the six area council offices.

He stated, “We have received all the non-sensitive materials, which have been moved to the area council offices.

“Training of staff commenced on 13th – 15th February 2026 and we are conducting additional training today to address the shortfall in turnout.”

Meanwhile, INEC revealed that it would hire a total of 1,132 vehicles from the transport unions ahead of Saturday’s FCT elections. Amupitan disclosed this in Abuja during a meeting with transport union leaders held at FCT INEC Office in Abuja.

He stated that the electoral body would not entertain any excuses from the transport unions, insisting that the services they would render must be in tandem with the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) they signed with INEC.

Amupitan said, “We are pleased to note that there is a partnership that has been existing for years between INEC and the two unions, especially as it relates to transport logistics. And of course, you know that your election can only be good as your logistics.”

The INEC chairman said the commission’s partnership with the unions showed that they were a critical stakeholder in the electoral process in ensuring free, fair and credible elections.

He, however, expressed concern over some challenges relating to logistics on election day, adding that the services provided by the unions during the Anambra State governorship election was a disaster.

Amupitan stated, “However, we have noticed some challenges in relation to transport logistics, and we are very concerned and worried. I will give you some of the examples, most especially at the last Anambra State Election.

“It was almost a disaster, because we were almost disappointed. The vehicles that were brought by the unions to transport sensitive materials from Enugu to Awka, we were not particularly happy because they were really non-serviceable vehicles.

“And at the last minute, we also found that some of your representatives could not meet up and even discovered that some of the vehicles were farmed out to others.

“And let me also say that we had to revert, in some cases, to Option B, which was having to rely on some vehicles that were brought from other states to be able to meet up.”

Amupitan added, “So this time around, we are talking of hiring about 1,132 vehicles from the two unions, and for an election that will feature about 570 candidates. For the chairmanship and vice chairmanship position, and about 62 or 68 councillorship positions. And you are talking about 2,822 polling units in the FCT, in the six area councils.

“We have emphasised to you in the morning that we don’t want to listen to any excuses. You know, there are some excuses that are genuine, but we don’t even want any excuse, whether genuine or non-genuine.”

He maintained that the target of the electoral body was for the election to commence by 8am.

Responding, Director, Legal, National Union of Road Transport Workers (NURTW), Mercy Ibeh, said most of the things mentioned by Amupitan were not strange to them, adding that issues like this usually form part of the discussion whenever they have a round table to sit and discuss.

NURTW Chairman, FCT, Abdullahi Dauda, said in any programme, there must be challenges, saying once challenges are identified, the next thing is to tackle them.

Nigerian Women Trust Fund said area council or local government elections were critical to a sustainable democratic system in any country.

Its Communication Manager, Mujidat Agbabiaka-Sholeye, said being the closest tier of government to the people, the conduct of the election must be carried out with utmost care, dedication to justice, fairness and accountability.

In his submission, legislative expert and public affairs analyst, Mr. Akinloye Oyeniyi, said judging by the outcome of the 2023 general election in the nation’s capital, ordinarily, one should be expecting a tough battle for the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) due to various factors.

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‘Purge yourself of anti-Atiku sentiments’ - Dele Momodu tells Bode George

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A chieftain of the African Democratic Congress, ADC, Dele Momodu, has urged former Deputy National Chairman of the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP, Bode George to stop harbouring what he described as anti-Atiku sentiments.

In a post on X, Momodu stated that Atiku Abubakar, former Vice President, has a legitimate right to pursue his presidential ambition.

He was reacting to a video interview in which George criticised Atiku for allegedly placing his personal ambition above party interests.

Recall that Atiku and George were previously members of the PDP before the former VP defected to the ADC.

George, in the interview, openly faulted Atiku’s continued presidential bid.

“There’s someone who has been bragging so much, and whom I pity so much.

“Despite elder statesmen’s efforts to make peace reign, this person insists that it’s his ambition. He keeps insisting he would run, but is his ambition greater than that of Nigeria?” George had said.

Reacting, Momodu wrote, “Baba mi sir, you know I love and respect you a lot, kindly purge yourself of anti-Atiku sentiments.

“It is his right to contest, sir, while it is your right not to support him. Atiku has never bragged to anyone about his political dreams. Never.”

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Threats won’t stop Nigerians from voting Tinubu out – ADC tells Wike

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The African Democratic Congress (ADC) has criticised the Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Nyesom Wike, over his reported declaration of war against anti-Tinubu candidates ahead of the February 21, 2026 elections.

In a statement signed by its National Publicity Secretary, Mallam Bolaji Abdullahi on Monday, the party described the comment as irresponsible and dangerous.

According to the statement, it would not stop Nigerians from deciding who to vote.


The ADC said the minister’s remarks were troubling, especially at a time when the country is facing economic hardship, insecurity and political tension.

“We consider the Minister’s declaration of war against so-called anti-Tinubu candidates not only irresponsible, but dangerous in the current fragile atmosphere of our nation. At a time when Nigerians are grappling with unprecedented economic hardship, insecurity, and deep political distrust, the last thing the country needs is inflammatory rhetoric from those entrusted with public office.

“Nigeria must not be turned into a ground for settling political scores; it is a constitutional democracy. Power ultimately belongs to the people, not to any President, any Minister, or anyone who wrongly assumes that holding public office means owning the country,” the statement warned.

The party said it was reminding President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, the All Progressives Congress (APC), Nyesom Wike and other officials of the administration that Nigerians cannot be bullied or pressured.

It added that any attempt to threaten or force voters into submission only shows fear and exposes what it described as growing anxiety within Wike, Tinubu and the APC over their level of public support, as well as a widening disconnect between the government and many citizens.

“If Wike, the APC and its leaders are confident in their performance, they should submit themselves humbly to the verdict of the electorate.

“The ADC will not sit idly by and watch political actors truncate our democracy. Any attempt, overt or covert, to subvert the will of Nigerians to freely choose their leaders will be firmly resisted through every means at our disposal. We are prepared to mobilize democratic institutions, civil society partners, and the Nigerian people themselves in defense of the sanctity of the ballot,” the statement added.

“If they are confident in their performance, they should submit themselves humbly to the verdict of the electorate,” the ADC said.

The party also vowed to resist any attempt to interfere with the outcome of the election.

“Any attempt, overt or covert, to subvert the will of Nigerians to freely choose their leaders will be firmly resisted through every means at our disposal,” the statement read.

The ADC insisted that no declaration of war or political pressure would override the voice of the electorate in the February 21 polls.

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