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Thepledge Big Story: 2027: Will Atiku Succumb To Pressure And Forgo Ambition?
By Augustine Akhilomen
Alhaji Atiku Abubakar had always been ambitious since he registered his presence on the nation’s political landscape in 1993 at the Jos convention of the Social Democratic Party (SDP). To deny Ambassador Babagana Kingibe the presidential ticket, SDP leaders mounted pressure on Atiku to leave the race and support Chief Moshood Abiola.
More than three decades later, not a few people believe that it was Atiku that made it possible for Abiola to clinch the SDP presidential ticket and by extension, made the June 12, 1993 memorable and symbolic presidential election, which Abiola won, possible. Interestingly, the then 46 years old politician is now in his late 70s and still yearning and ambitious to rule the country. He indeed lost the last election to the current president, Bola Ahmed Tinubu in 2023 and he’s again on the mark to enter the presidential race. The former vice president has been in the race to become Nigeria’s president for over three decades and has been the presidential candidate of different parties for six times.
But the dynamics is fast changing and his party, PDP, is in existential crisis, making it increasingly difficult for Atiku or any other politician to take refuge under its umbrella and to use it as veritable auspices to consummate a presidential project. It was largely based on this that Atiku and other opposition leaders are presently working on a coalition with the aim of presenting a formidable candidate under an alliance.
So far, the coalition talks thus appear to be shaky because there are no concrete or favourable signs coming out of the various meetings. Coupled with this is the serious pressure being mounted by close allies that Atiku should not run and should in fact throw his weight behind a young and electable Nigerians who can give Tinubu a good fight in 2027.
It is still a thing of guess-work to know if a veteran politician, who became vice president for eight years under President Olusegun Obasanjo, would drop his political ambition ahead of the 2027 elections. The Waziri of Adamawa, who is said to be weighing his options on how to actualize his long-term dreams, has been meeting with some political heavyweights from other parties to see where he can fit in the current political equation and re-alignments.
This is also coming on the heels of the PDP Governors Forum (PDPGF) decision in Ibadan, Oyo State, last month not to merge with any other parties or groups, which political observers see as a big slap on Atiku’s presidential ambition.
Meanwhile, Buba Galadima, Secretary of the Board of Trustees of the New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP), has urged former Vice President Atiku Abubakar to step down from presidential politics ahead of 2027. Speaking in a BBC Hausa interview, Galadima said it was time for Atiku to rest after decades of political ambition.
“My advice is borne out of concern and love. Atiku has spent 33 years seeking the presidency. History will remember that he tried. But now, he should support and mentor a younger candidate,” Galadima said.
“When Buhari won in 2015, he was 72. Atiku will be 82 by 2027. Most leadership crises are linked to age-related decline in thinking and reasoning,” he said.
Interestingly, Atiku may have been motivated by the resilience and consistency of two American politicians, Lyndon LaRouche and Harold Stassen, who got their parties’ presidential nominations seven and nine times. But neither man became president.
The former vice president might have also read the history of former American President Abraham Lincoln, who contested for political offices several times before he was finally elected president of the United States.
But many observers are still divided on whether Atiku will succumb to pressure by dropping his long-term political ambition in a bid to support a younger candidate capable of wrestling power from Tinubu.
Since the PDP lost power in 2015, the opposition party has not been a model of cohesion. These days, the party is more in the news for internal conflicts than for political strategy. What happens in the PDP in the months ahead will determine how far Atiku will be able to go in his attempt to realize his presidential ambition.
Reacting to the development, a PDP chieftain and the party’s former Deputy National Chairman, Chief Bode George, has advised the former Vice President to give up his ambition to be president since he will be 81 in 2027.
“To Atiku, my advice is this: you will be 81 years old in 2027, and you have been contesting for the presidency since 1993. This is the time for you to calm down and act like an elder. I appeal to you in the name of the Almighty Allah, whom you serve, to take it easy and leave everything for posterity.”
“We are where we are today because of a self-inflicted crisis; we should bury our individual ambitions now and not allow the PDP to crumble, please. Elders of the party should tell some of these funny characters to cool off and think of our national interest instead of their personal interest.”
Asked whether Atiku could be the flag bearer of the PDP in 2027, the PDP chieftain said: “He cannot be. This is what I am saying. There were eight years in the north; there should be eight years in the south. That is the dictate; that is the doctrine of the PDP. I can’t say he cannot contest; he can go to any party because it is his constitutional right, but as far as we are concerned, he cannot be the candidate.
A political commentator, Olatunbosun Ayeni, shared George sentiment, saying that Atiku should shelve his dream of running for the presidential election.
“I don’t think it will be appropriate for Atiku to run for another presidential election under the. His many attempts have resulted in no results, and it will be wise for him to step down and support a younger candidate for the election.
“Yes, he’s ambitious, but his efforts so far have yielded zero results. Atiku should just do the right thing, or Tinubu will retain power in 2027.”
Another political analyst, Ifedayo Aigbe, told Thepledge that the 2027 election will be a walkover for Tinubu and APC if Atiku fails to drop his political ambition. “At this juncture, the party’s interest should be Atiku’s main focus and not trying to use his wealth to clinch the presidential ticket under PDP again.
He continued: “Whether he’s going to succumb to pressure and forget his ambition of running for the election still remains unclear. However, Atiku has done his best and should allow other candidates to run for the presidential election.”
As it is, it’s still remains unlikely that Atiku will capitulate under this intense pressure and forgo his ambition. What is however certain is that the political climate is increasingly becoming unfavourable to him and the only way to still remain relevant in a post 2027 Nigerian politics is how he navigates his current travails. Nigerians would be watching his next moves!
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‘End digital repression now’, Falana tells FG, governors, first ladies
Human rights lawyer and Senior Advocate of Nigeria Femi Falana has urged the Federal Government, the country’s 36 governors and first ladies to “immediately end digital repression and embrace digital democracy, uphold human rights and media freedom.”
Falana said this today in a paper titled “Press Freedom and Cybercrime Law in Nigeria: Bridging the Justice Gaps” delivered at the plenary session of Nigeria Bar Association-Section on Public Interest and Development Law (NBA-SPIDEL).
According to Falana, “Across Nigeria, serving and former public officers and increasingly their spouses, have systematically weaponised law enforcement agencies to silence journalists, students, activists, whistleblowers, and political opponents.”
Falana said, “This pattern persists despite clear constitutional guarantees under Sections 35, 36, and 39, and judicial pronouncements prohibiting the misuse of the criminal law for personal grievances.
The paper, read in part: “This conduct mirrors the tactics of the British colonial administrators who used sedition and criminal libel to suppress dissent.”
“In many cases today, ‘cyberstalking’ complaints are filed not to protect public order, but to punish criticism, expose corruption, or intimidate perceived opponents. These abuses violate the rule of law and constitute misapplication of state power.”
“Press freedom remains a constitutional and democratic imperative in Nigeria. Yet cyber‑security legislation, particularly the former Section 24 of the Cybercrime (Prohibition, Prevention, etc.) Act 2015 has been systematically weaponized by public officials and their spouses to silence dissent, intimidate journalists, and criminalise legitimate criticism.”
“Despite clear judicial guidance from Nigerian courts and binding decisions of the ECOWAS Court of Justice, security agencies continue to arrest journalists and citizens for offences that no longer exist under Nigerian law.”
“Although Nigeria returned to civil rule in 1999, the residue of military culture continues to shape law enforcement conduct. Public officers and their spouses frequently deploy the police against journalists and critics, invoking repealed offences such as ‘cyberstalking,’ ‘insult,’ ‘annoyance,’ and ‘offensive messages.’”
“This contradicts both the Constitution, particularly Sections 22 and 39, and binding ECOWAS Court rulings.”
“The criminal offence of cyberstalking has been limited to sending messages via computer systems that are pornographic or known to be false for the specific purpose of causing a breakdown of law and order or posing a threat to life.”
“But journalists and critics are routinely charged with sending messages that are alleged to be false, even though it is not for the specific purpose of causing a breakdown of law and order.”
“For instance, how can the criticism of a governor for appointing a chief judge be said to be false for the purpose of causing a breakdown of law and order?”
“The provision is vague and ought to be further amended. The police or the prosecutor should not be the determinant of a message whose falsity may lead to a breakdown of law and order.”
“There is no controversy over messages via computer that are pornographic or posing a threat to life. However, a message that is false for the specific purpose of causing a breakdown of law and order is subjective and dangerous.”
“The judicial foundation for protecting criticism of public officials was laid to rest long ago in Arthur Nwankwo v State, where the Court of Appeal condemned sedition as a colonial relic incompatible with democracy and warned that its retention would provide a ‘deadly weapon’ for corrupt governments.”
“Public officers were directed to resort to civil libel rather than criminal prosecution. These principles remain binding.”
“The colonial Sedition Ordinance of 1909 criminalised publications that brought the British Crown into ‘hatred or contempt.’ Early journalists such as Ernest Ikoli, Herbert Macaulay, and Nnamdi Azikiwe were routinely surveilled, prosecuted, or banned from publishing. These colonial controls set the template for later authoritarian restrictions.”
“Sedition, as defined under the Criminal Code introduced by the British, became a powerful mechanism for suppressing anti-colonial agitation. Publications exposing colonial inequity were labelled ‘seditious,’ and printers were fined or jailed.”
“This practice of criminalising criticism directly contradicts democratic values and is incompatible with modern constitutional standards.”
“Following independence and the first military coup of 1966, Nigeria entered an era of harsh press regulation. Military regimes such as Yakubu Gowon, Buhari/Idiagbon, Babangida, and Abacha introduced sweeping decrees that eliminated press freedom.”
“The most infamous was the Public Officers (Protection Against False Accusation) Decree No. 4 of 1984, under which Tunde Thompson and Nduka Irabor of The Guardian were imprisoned for publishing ‘true but embarrassing’ information.”
“The State Security (Detention of Persons) Decree No. 2 authorised detention without trial, often used against journalists and students.”
“Nigeria also witnessed brutal attacks on journalists: the 1986 assassination of Dele Giwa via parcel bomb; the 1995 imprisonment of Chris Anyanwu, Kunle Ajibade, George Mbah, and Ben Charles‑Obi; and the intimidation of pro‑democracy media houses across the country.”
“These incidents illustrate how sedition and ‘false news’ offences were weaponised to shield the powerful and silence dissent.”
“The framers of the 1999 Constitution, mindful of the abuses suffered under colonial and military regimes, inserted strong protections for freedom of expression.”
“These provisions recognise the press as a constitutional watchdog and not merely a private actor. They reflect the democratic shift away from criminalising dissent and toward protecting public scrutiny of government decisions.”
“It must be noted that three states in Nigeria have repealed criminal libel: Lagos (2011), Edo (2018), and Ekiti (2021), while we hope that other states will toll this part of advancing free speech in the coming days.”
“The leading Nigerian authority affirming the constitutional right to criticise public officials is Arthur Nwankwo v State, where the Court of Appeal denounced the sedition law as incompatible with democracy. Olajide Olatawura JCA (as he then was) warned that retaining sedition ‘is a deadly weapon to be used at will by a corrupt government or a tyrant.’”
“The court held that public officers must tolerate scrutiny and that any remedy for reputational harm lies in civil libel, not criminal prosecution.”
“This decision aligns with later jurisprudence, including Tony Momoh v Senate of the National Assembly and Innocent Ukoha v State, which emphasise robust protection for journalists and the necessity of criticism in a democratic society.”
“Section 24 of the Cybercrime (Prohibition, Prevention, etc.) Act 2015 was enacted ostensibly to tackle cyber‑bullying, malicious communication, and online harassment.”
“However, its language mirrored colonial sedition laws and post‑colonial ‘false news’ offences. It criminalised online messages deemed ‘grossly offensive,’ ‘indecent,’ ‘obscene,’ or ‘menacing,’ and messages known to be false sent for the purpose of causing ‘annoyance,’ ‘insult,’ ‘hatred,’ ‘ill‑will,’ ‘needless anxiety,’ or ‘enmity.’”
“These terms were hopelessly vague, subjective, and overbroad. In practice, Section 24 became a tool for political retaliation. Public officials, governors, ministers, and their spouses used the police and security services to arrest journalists, bloggers, students, and lawyers for posts on Facebook, WhatsApp, X (Twitter), and online publications.”
“The misuse of the section effectively criminalised criticism and undermined Section 39 of the Constitution, which guarantees freedom of expression. It also contradicted the binding decisions of Nigerian courts prohibiting colonial sedition offences.”
“In Incorporated Trustees of Laws and Rights Awareness Initiative v FRN, the Applicant argued that Section 24 violated Article 9 of the African Charter on Human and Peoples’ Rights. The ECOWAS Court agreed, holding that the section was incompatible with the Charter and Article 19 of the ICCPR.”
“It declared the section unlawful to the extent of its inconsistency.”
“Also, in SERAP v Nigeria, the ECOWAS Court again held that Nigeria could not criminalise ‘insulting’ or ‘annoying’ expression, ruling that such vague categories fail the tests of legality, necessity, and proportionality required under international human rights law.”
“These judgments are binding on Nigeria under Article 15 of the ECOWAS Revised Treaty. Hence, Nigeria amended section 24 of the Cybercrime Act, 2015.”
“Despite the amendment of Section 24 in February 2024, Nigeria continues to witness arrests, detentions, and prosecutions under the repealed version of the law. This contradiction exposes a profound justice gap: legal reform has occurred, but enforcement culture remains unchanged.”
“Security agencies, especially the Nigeria Police Force (NPF), DSS, EFCC, and state-controlled task forces, still operate with a military-era mindset that sees criticism as a threat rather than a democratic function.”
“The repression is not limited to isolated individuals. The government’s response to the #EndBadGovernance protests of August 2025 reflects an alarming escalation of punitive state action. Seventy-five protesters, including twenty-eight minors, were remanded by the Federal High Court for sixty days on allegations of terrorism and treason.”
“In Inspector-General of Police v. Chizorom Harrison Ofoegbu, we appeared for the defendant. The Federal High Court upheld our preliminary objection and ruled that it lacked jurisdiction to try the offence of criminal defamation, resulting in the dismissal of two of the three cybercrime charges against the defendant.”
“The police brought the charges on behalf of Evangelist Ebuka Obi, leader of the Zion Prayer Ministry Movement Outreach.”
“Despite the amendment, security agencies across Nigeria continue to arrest journalists and citizens under the repealed Section 24. This illegality is contrary to the principle in Aoko v Fagbemi that ‘a person cannot be convicted for an offence unknown to law.’”
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Macron Vows France’s Support For Nigeria Against Terrorism
French President Emmanuel Macron reaffirmed France’s solidarity with Nigeria as the country faces escalating security challenges, particularly the persistent terrorist threat in its northern regions.
Disclosing that he spoke with Nigeria’s President Bola Tinubu, Macron pledged to deepen cooperation with Nigerian authorities and enhance support for communities impacted by violence, stressing that global partners must also step up their engagement.
“No one can remain a bystander,” he said in a post on X on Sunday, underscoring the urgent need for collective action to address the crisis.
“I spoke with President Tinubu of Nigeria, @officialABAT. I conveyed France’s solidarity in the face of the various security challenges, particularly the terrorist threat in the North.
“At his request, we will strengthen our partnership with the authorities and our support for the affected populations. We call on all our partners to step up their engagement. No one can remain a spectator,” the statement said.
Amid rising attacks and mass abductions, President Tinubu, on November 26, declared a nationwide security emergency.
Tinubu also ordered additional recruitment into the Nigerian Armed Forces and the police force.
In recent weeks, growing insecurity across the country has sparked widespread concern and anxiety.
Recent weeks have seen violent incidents across the country, including killings in Kebbi and Kwara states, as well as the abduction of more than 300 students from the Government Girls Comprehensive Secondary School (GGCSS) in Maga, Kebbi, and St. Mary’s Catholic School in Papiri, Niger State.
Although some of the kidnapped students have been released or managed to escape, many remain in the hands of their captors.
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PDP Chieftain Hails Massive Progress On Coastal Road, Backs Tinubu’s Bold Vision
An Ogun State chieftain of the Peoples Democratic Party, Segun Showunmi, has described the ongoing Lagos–Calabar Coastal Road project as a transformative investment that will not only boost Nigeria’s economic prosperity but also benefit generations to come.
In a statement on Sunday, Showunmi commended President Bola Tinubu for prioritising a generational shift through bold infrastructural investments across the country.
The PDP leader, who recently joined federal government delegates led by the Minister of Works, Dave Umahi, on an inspection of the road, applauded the scale and quality of the project.
“What we encountered in Uyo was nothing short of extraordinary. The sheer magnitude of overburden clearance, meticulous alignment demarcations, and towering ridges could humble any observer.
“The site pulsed with purposeful energy: machines humming, metal clanking, all in synchrony, as though men and machines were guided by one spirit. When we reached the Calabar section and saw the concrete pavement already laid, my heart burst with joy.
“Smiles lit every face. The reality dawned on us: we are on track. We saw the beginning, the middle, and now the emerging end,” he said.
Showunmi expressed gratitude to President Tinubu and Minister Umahi for their leadership, saying the project represents a lasting legacy.
“For generations, we benefitted from the works of Awolowo, Ahmadu Bello, and Azikiwe. We witnessed the infrastructural contributions of Obasanjo, Babangida, and even Abacha.
“Now, President Tinubu is delivering something the next generation will look back on with gratitude, vast, defining, and transformative. A true game-changer and a powerful growth pole for the future,” he said.
While praising the contractor for maintaining high standards, Showunmi noted that the Lagos–Calabar Coastal Road would significantly elevate Nigeria’s profile.
“The project marks the beginning of a new dawn, where no nation will dismiss or disrespect us casually,” he said.
The Lagos–Calabar Coastal Highway is a 750km infrastructure project linking Lagos to Calabar along the Atlantic coast, traversing nine states, Lagos, Ogun, Ondo, Delta, Bayelsa, Rivers, Akwa Ibom, Cross River, and Edo.
The road is being constructed under a public–private partnership model, with a planned rail line, and is expected to boost trade and tourism by reducing travel time.
While the project faces controversy over costs, environmental impact, and demolitions, it promises significant economic and developmental benefits for the region.
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