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Exclusive: 2023: Southwest APC Divided Between Osinbajo, Tinubu

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…Fayemi Cautiously Planning His Resurgence

By Unoigbokhai Adamu

As the all-important 2023 presidential race is set to kick off, signs are becoming increasingly clear that the Southwest leadership and members of the All Progressive Congress are divided between Vice President, Yemi Osinbajo and the APC National Leader, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

This is moreso as the Governor of Ekiti State, Dr. Kayode Fayemi is cautiously planning and strategizing to be the ruling party’s nominee.

The division over the two top party members, according to party sources, is because of the various interests playing out and the likely effects an Osinbajo or Tinubu presidency would have on major political players in the region and who is better suited to win the election for the party.

A source, who is also an APC chieftain, told ThePledge on Monday that since it has become implicit that the Southwest region will produce the presidential candidate of the ruling party, the two prominent candidates in the region will be the Vice President and the former Lagos State Governor. This, he said, is causing division among the various groups and interests within the party in the region.

“Even though the APC leadership has not come out concretely with its zoning arrangement, but we all know from the body language of most of the leaders that the Southwest is likely going to produce the party’s flag-bearer for the 2023 presidential election. And the likelihood of this has made the two biggest political players to go to work through their surrogates”, the source said.

According to him, leadership of the party in the region is not unaware of the influence of Tinubu and his formidable war chest to successfully prosecute a presidential project, but they are equally aware of the likely problems that might come with it, hence their preference for Osinbajo.

The Pledge also gathered that the Southwest APC governors are not taking it lightly on who among the likely candidates will protect their interests in a post Buhari era and are already liaising with their Northern counterparts to pick a candidate who according to sources, will not “throw away the Buhari legacy or come with a vengeance” and reenact his own doctrine.

A Northern Senator indeed confided in this reporter that the region’s political establishment are keenly monitoring the terrain and are determined to make sure they do not miscalculate in supporting the wrong person. “We are not unconcerned of the various moves and alliances shaping up across the country. But one thing should be clear to the aspirants and that is the Buhari factor”.

The senator who wants to be anonymous said: “There is no doubt that President Buhari will be interested in who takes over from him, because like other presidents, PMB will also be interested in ensuring that his legacy is firmly in the hands of a loyalist who believes in his philosophy. In that case, the VP will likely be favoured because being part and parcel of the Buhari government, it will be foolhardy for him to go against a legacy he was part of.

“Don’t also forget that the ruling class is conscious of the experience of Tinubu in the art and use of power and will therefore be cautious and careful in handing over the enormous powers of the presidency to him. If you ask me, the political class of which I am an active member will be more comfortable with the lesser evil of an Osinbajo presidency than that of Tinubu who understands the use of power and money”.

The senator however sounded a note of caution that the VP still has a daunting task in convincing the Muslims and other skeptics that the toga of religiosity which he has been severally accused of has been shelved. He said Osinbajo has not been able to convince critics that he will not unduly favour his Redeemed Church members if given the ticket.

“The VP has a lot to do in convincing worried party leaders and members of the public that he will be a president for all Nigerians. His antecedents and the various appointments he made in the past have not shown that he will be above board. So, he has to convince us with his actions that he will rule without fear or favour”, the Senator said.

It should however be noted that both the VP and Asiwaju have not formally thrown their hats into the ring to declare their intention to contest the presidential primaries, but it’s clear from all indications that they are consulting widely and using their foot soldiers and surrogates to test the waters before the eventual leap.

Another prominent person from the Southwest that is widely believed to be interested in the presidential race is Governor Fayemi. His prominent position as Chairman of Governors Forum is not a fluke and he has strategically positioned himself to be a factor or what political pundits described as a wild card aspirant should in case those seen as front runners falter.

The Ekiti State helmsman has been cautious in the way and manner he pursues his ambition, largely because the whistle is yet to be blown or because he’s still preoccupied with administering his state, but those close to him told this reporter that his presidential ambition is still intact.

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‘Be Prepared For Flash Floods, Rising Water Levels’, Lagos Warns Surulere, Agege, Ikeja, Ikorodu, 11 Others

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By Augustine Akhilomen

The Lagos State Government has issued a flood alert to residents, warning that several parts of the state may experience heavy rainfall, flash floods, rising water levels and possible riverbank overflows between June 14 and June 21, 2026.

The advisory was issued by the Permanent Secretary, Office of Drainage Services and Water Resources, Mahamood Adegbite, following a flood prediction update released by the Federal Ministry of Environment.

According to the forecast, communities considered to be at critical risk include Apapa, Badagry, Epe, Eti-Osa, Ikeja, Ikorodu, Ikoyi, Lagos Island, Lekki, Ojo, Orile-Agege, Surulere, Agege, Alimosho and Kosofe..

The flood prediction update, signed by the Director of Erosion, Flood and Coastal Zone Management, Usman Bokani, classified the listed areas as “Critical Risk Areas.”

The update advised communities within the affected locations to maintain immediate flood watch, identify evacuation routes and protect vulnerable households.

It also urged residents to “avoid settlement or trading activities within active floodplains, low-lying drainage corridors and riverbank areas.”

However, the Lagos State Government assured residents of the affected communities and the state at large that there was no cause for panic, stressing that it has continued year-round maintenance and clearing of primary and secondary drainage channels.

According to the government, these proactive measures have helped prevent any devastating impact associated with heavy rainfall since the onset of this year’s rainy season.

“These proactive steps have ensured that the state has not suffered any devastating effect that comes with heavy rainfalls since the advent of the rains this year,” the statement added.

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Why Atiku, Amaechi ADC Ticket Will Defeat Tinubu In 2027 – Bolaji Abdullahi

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The National Publicity Secretary of the African Democratic Congress (ADC), Bolaji Abdullahi, believes that the party’s presidential ticket of Atiku Abubakar and Rotimi Amaechi will defeat President Bola Tinubu in the 2027 general election.

Abdullahi, who was interviewed on Monday’s edition of Channels Television’s Politics Today, said the party believes any of its presidential aspirants would have offered better leadership than the incumbent administration, describing the Atiku-Amaechi combination as a formidable team capable of winning the election.

“We believe that everybody who was running as an aspirant on the platform of the ADC, whether it’s Atiku or Rotimi Amaechi or Mohammed Hayatu-Deen, will do far better than what President Bola Tinubu is doing.

“We believe that the emergence of Atiku Abubakar and Rotimi Amaechi as our presidential and vice-presidential candidates actually gives us a formidable team that is immensely capable of winning this election. So we are not surprised with the kind of shenanigans that have been cropping up the moment we announced Rotimi Amaechi as our vice-presidential candidate,” the party spokesman said.

According to Abdullahi, the ADC “will be on the ballot in the 2027 general elections” and will soon hold a formal presentation and a major event to unveil its presidential ticket to Nigerians officially.

He also insisted that the party conducted a credible primary election. Amaechi, who contested the ADC presidential primary, lost to Atiku before subsequently being announced as the party’s vice-presidential candidate earlier on Monday.

With the 2027 general election drawing closer, political parties are consolidating their positions following their primaries. President Bola Tinubu is the APC’s presidential candidate, Atiku Abubakar will fly the ADC flag, while Peter Obi is the candidate of the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC).

Notably, Tinubu, Atiku and Obi were the leading contenders in the 2023 presidential election, with Tinubu emerging as the winner with over eight million votes, while Obi and Atiku got over six million votes.

Amaechi was a presidential aspirant of the All Progressives Congress (APC) in the 2023 election.

Atiku has pursued the nation’s top job on six occasions over the past three decades, with his presidential ambitions dating back to 1992–1993 and continuing through election cycles up to 2023.

The APC has however, remained Nigeria’s ruling party since assuming power in 2015.

The ADC spokesman Abdullahi, speaking further on the show, condemned a Federal High Court ruling ordering the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) to deregister the ADC and four other political parties, calling it an attack on democracy and an example of judicial misconduct.

He argued that many candidates had already contested elections under the ADC platform and rejected the judgement entirely.

The ruling, delivered by Justice Peter Lifu, directed INEC to deregister the ADC, Accord Party, Action Peoples Party, Action Alliance, and Zenith Labour Party for allegedly failing to meet constitutional and electoral performance requirements, following a suit by the National Forum of Former Legislators.

“We are not surprised. We know that the Nigerian people believe that there is a problem with the judiciary, but what we did not expect is the level of judicial rascality that was demonstrated today.

“What we are saying is that we reject it in its totality, and we are saying that the people behind this are playing with fire. Hundreds, if not thousands, have obtained nomination forms and contested elections and emerged as candidates on the platform of the ADC,” Abdullahi said.

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Deadly Russian Strikes Kill 11, Set Landmark Kyiv Monastery Ablaze

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An overnight Russian barrage of missiles killed at least 11 people across Ukraine and sparked a fire at one of the most important Orthodox monasteries in the capital Kyiv.

AFP journalists across Kyiv witnessed residents running through the streets seeking shelter throughout the night as projectiles were intercepted in the sky and glowing debris fell across the city.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Monday called for more pressure on Moscow from G7 leaders, gathering at a summit in France set to be dominated by the US-Iranian deal to end the Middle East war.

He also said he told US President Donald Trump he was willing to meet Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin in the United States, calling it an offer Putin would find “harder to refuse”.

The violence killed five people and wounded 34 in Kyiv as a fire broke out on the grounds of the Kyiv-Pechersk Lavra UNESCO world heritage site, setting ablaze the roof of its Dormition Cathedral.

“This is one of Russia’s most serious crimes against Christian culture to date,” Zelensky said on social media.

Founded in the 11th century, the site holds huge significance for Orthodox believers in both Ukraine and Russia.

Russia’s military said it had carried out a “massive strike” on military sites in Kyiv, as well as the Kharkiv and Dnipro regions, but denied targeting the Lavra, saying it was hit by an outdated US Patriot air defence missile.

After he visited the site, Zelensky said two Russian drones “deliberately” targeted Kyiv’s monastery quarter.

Moscow fired 70 missiles and 611 drones, mainly targeting the capital, Ukraine’s air force said, adding that it had downed 50 of the missiles and 582 drones.

In the morning Kyiv sun, an AFP reporter saw rescuers carefully cleaning up rubble at the monastery, as the church bells rang out the tune of the Ukrainian anthem.

The Ukrainian security service said it was putting the debris from one of the drones on display.

Makariy, a monk who lives in the monastery, said he “jumped” from his bed after having been woken by a strong “roar” at five in the morning.

After stepping out of his room, he saw the complex engulfed in “fire and smoke” and took cover in a shelter.

Emergency service worker Ivan told AFP that “everything is fine inside” the Dormition Cathedral and that its roof took most of the damage.

The Kyiv-Pechersk Lavra, a monastery with emblematic golden domes, is venerated by both the Russian and Ukrainian wings of the Orthodox Church as one of their most important spiritual centres.

Its sprawling cave system holds the relics of dozens of saints revered by both Churches.

The Dormition Cathedral, set alight in the overnight attacks, was almost completely destroyed during World War II and rebuilt only in the 1990s.

The Russian Orthodox Church administered the site via its Ukrainian branch for centuries.

In 2022-2023, the monks serving in the Ukrainian branch of the Moscow church were evicted from the monastery, accused of having ties to Russia.

The United Nations’ cultural agency UNESCO condemned the air raid and Kyiv’s Metropolitan Epiphanius, who heads the Ukrainian Orthodox Church, also denounced the attack.

“What more must the Kremlin antichrist do for the world to realise that decisive action must be taken to stop Russian terror against Ukraine and against the very principles of peace?” he said.

In total, 11 people were killed, including four in Kyiv and five — rescue workers and a civil servant — in the northeastern city of Kharkiv.

In Russia, a Ukrainian drone strike also killed three people and wounded three others in the city of Tula, around 200 kilometres (125 miles) south of Moscow, the regional governor Dmitry Milyaev said on Monday.

Zelensky said he was waiting to see what came of his proposal to meet Putin in the US, warning that if Russia again refuses talks, “additional pressure will be needed”.

Putin has repeatedly rejected calls for a face-to-face meeting, including a fresh invitation from Zelensky to meet during the G7 summit.

Russia’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine has turned into Europe’s worst conflict since World War II, with thousands of civilians and hundreds of thousands of troops killed.

As the near-daily pummelling of its cities by Russian drones and missiles continues, Ukraine has in recent weeks stepped up its own aerial attacks, which it says mostly target Russia’s oil infrastructure to sap its profits that fund the war.



AFP

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